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Clear Thinking: Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers, 1st Edition by Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, and Oliver Gnad provides a practical framework for improving critical thinking, intelligence analysis, strategic foresight, and complex decision-making. The book combines insights from cognitive psychology with Structured Analytic Techniques to help readers recognize cognitive biases, challenge assumptions, evaluate competing explanations, and communicate analytical conclusions more effectively. It also introduces strategic foresight methods for exploring uncertainty, identifying emerging developments, and constructing alternative future scenarios. Three detailed case studies demonstrate how the techniques can be applied to realistic security and policy challenges, while additional guidance covers problem framing, analytic writing, presentation, and producing higher-impact assessments. Designed for analysts, managers, policy professionals, security specialists, and students, the book provides structured methods for making more rigorous and transparent decisions when information is uncertain or incomplete.

Clear Thinking 1st Edition – Randolph H. Pherson

$69.99 Regular Price
$21.70Sale Price
  • Authors: Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad
  • Publisher: Springer
  • Format: Interactive PDF
  • Pages: 259
  • ISBN-10: 3031487656
  • ISBN-13: 9783031487651
  • Edition: 1st Edition
  • Year: 2024
  • Category: Strategic Management

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